BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Agatha Warning Number 4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012022
400p m. CDT Saturday May 28, 2022
...AGATHA IS GRADUALLY STRENGTHENING IN SOUTHERN MEXICO...
...HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ISSUED...
SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...13.8N 98.1W
APPROXIMATELY 170 MI...270 KM SW OF PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
CURRENT MOTION...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
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CHANGES WITH THIS NOTICE:
The Mexican government has issued a Hurricane Warning from Salina Cruz to Lagunas de Chacahua, with a Tropical Storm Warning and a Hurricane Watch from Salina Cruz to Barra De Tonalá, and a Tropical Storm Warning for Barra De Tonalá to Boca de Pijijiapan and of
Lagoons From Chacahua to Punta Maldonado
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
There is a hurricane warning for...
* Salina Cruz to Lagunas de Chacahua
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Salina Cruz to the east to Barra De Tonalá
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Salina Cruz to the east to Boca de Pijijiapan
* Lagunas de Chacahua to the west to Punta Maldonado
A hurricane warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A warning is generally issued 36 hours before the first anticipated occurrence of tropical storm force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life and property must be expedited to completion.
A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. It is normally issued 48 hours before the anticipated first appearance of tropical storm force winds, conditions that make preparations difficult or difficult outside dangerous.
A tropical storm warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.
Interests elsewhere in southern Mexico should closely monitor Agatha's progress.
For specific storm information in your area, check products issued by your national weather service.
DISCUSSION AND PERSPECTIVE
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As of 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Agatha was located near latitude 13.8 North, longitude 98.1 West. agatha is moving toward the north-northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h). A turn to the northeast is forecast to occur late tonight or on Sunday.
On the forecast track, the center of Agatha will approach the
Mexico's southern coast on Sunday and make landfall there on Monday.
Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Rapid intensification is forecast and Agatha could become a hurricane by early Sunday morning.
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
From the center
The estimated minimum central pressure is 998 mb (29.47 inches).
THREATS AFFECTING THE EARTH
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WIND: Hurricane conditions expected on hurricane watch
area and possible in the watch area Monday, with tropical storm conditions possible Sunday night. Tropical storm conditions are expected in the tropical storm warning areas on Monday.
STORM SURGE: Storm surge is expected to produce significant flooding in areas of onshore winds near and to the east of where the center of Agatha makes landfall. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves.
RAINFALL: Agatha to produce heavy rain in parts of the south
Mexico from Sunday to Tuesday night. The following amounts of rain
currently expected:
Mexican state of Oaxaca: 10 to 16 inches, with maximum isolated
quantities of 20 inches possible. Life-threatening flash floods and
landslides can occur.
Mexican state of Chiapas: 5 to 10 inches, with maximum isolated
15-inch quantities possible. Life-threatening flash flooding and landslides can occur.
Eastern portions of the Mexican state of Guerrero: 2 to 6 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 10 inches possible. Life-threatening flash floods and landslides can occur.
Mexican states of Vera Cruz and Tabasco: 2 to 4 inches, with
isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches possible.
SURF: Agatha-generated swells are expected to begin affecting the coast of southern Mexico tonight. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf conditions and rip currents. Please
check the products of your local weather office.
NEXT NOTICE
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Next interim notice at 700 p.m. m. CDT.
Next full notice at 1000 p.m. m. CDT.
Cangialosi Tipster
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