Así luce #Zipolite esta tarde/noche, obedezca las medidas de prevención establecidas por las autoridades.
Sunday, May 29, 2022
BULLETIN Hurricane Agatha Warning Number 8 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012022 400p m. CDT Sun May 29, 2022
BULLETIN
Hurricane Agatha Warning Number 8
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012022
400p m. CDT Sun May 29, 2022
...AGATHA ALMOST A GREAT HURRICANE...
...WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN TO DETERIORATE IN THE SOUTH
MEXICO TONIGHT...
SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.1N 98.7W
ABOUT 185 MI...295 KM SW OF PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H. CAT, 2
CURRENT MOTION...NE (NORTHEAST) OR 45 DEGREES AT 1 MPH...2 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...964 MB...28.47 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS NOTICE:
None
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
There is a hurricane warning for...
* Salina Cruz to Lagunas de Chacahua
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Salina Cruz to the east to Barra De Tonalá
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Salina Cruz to the east to Boca de Pijijiapan
* Lagunas de Chacahua to the west to Punta Maldonado
A hurricane warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. preparations for
protect life and property must be rushed to completion.
A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area.
A tropical storm warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area.
Interests in other parts of southern Mexico should closely monitor the
Agatha's progress.
For specific storm information in your area, check the products issued by your national weather service.
DISCUSSION AND PERSPECTIVE
-------------------------------------
at 400 p.m. m. CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Agatha was located near latitude 14.1 North, longitude 98.7 West. Agatha is drifting northeast near 1 mph (2 km/h), and a faster northeast. The movement is expected to start tonight. On the forecast track, the center of Agatha will make landfall in southern Mexico Monday afternoon or evening.
Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 110 mph (175 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is expected during the next 12 to 24 hours and Agatha is forecast to become a major hurricane when it reaches the coast of southern Mexico on Monday.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km).
The minimum central pressure based on data from the Spanish Air Force
The Hurricane Hunter plane is 964mb (28.47 inches).
THREATS AFFECTING THE EARTH
-------------------------------------
WIND: Hurricane conditions expected on hurricane watch
area and possible in the watch area Monday, with tropical storm conditions beginning tonight or early Monday.
STORM SURGE: Storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding in areas of onshore winds near and to the east of where the center of Agatha makes landfall. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves.
RAINFALL: Agatha to produce heavy rain in parts of the south
Mexico until Tuesday night. The following rainfall amounts are currently expected:
Mexican state of Oaxaca: 10 to 16 inches, with maximum isolated
quantities of 20 inches possible. Life-threatening flash floods and
landslides can occur.
Mexican state of Chiapas: 5 to 10 inches, with maximum isolated
15-inch quantities possible. Life-threatening flash flooding and landslides can occur.
Eastern portions of the Mexican state of Guerrero: 2 to 6 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 10 inches possible. Life-threatening flash floods and landslides can occur.
Mexican states of Veracruz and Tabasco: 2 to 4 inches, with insulation
maximum quantities of 6 inches possible.
SURF: Large swells generated by Agatha will affect the southern coast of Mexico during the next few days. These waves are
likely to cause life-threatening surf conditions and rip currents.
Check the products of your local weather office.
NEXT NOTICE
-------------
Next interim notice at 700 p.m. m. CDT.
Next full notice at 1000 p.m. m. CDT.
Cangialosi Tipster
The combination of the fried tortilla, bathed in mole results in some delicious black mole chilaqules. 🫓🌶🍽
La combinación de la torrilla frita, bañada en mole da por resultado unos ricos chilaqules de mole negro.
Agatha intensifies into a Cat 1 hurricane as it bears down on Mexico
Agatha intensifies into a Cat 1 hurricane as it bears down on Mexico
May 15 marks the beginning of the central and east Pacific hurricane season.
The East Pacific's first named storm of the year -- Agatha -- strengthened into a hurricane Sunday morning as it closed in on the southern Mexico coastline. AccuWeather meteorologists have rated Agatha a 2 on the AccuWeather RealImpact™ Scale for Hurricanes as a result of the storm's damaging winds and significant flooding threat in Mexico.
Within six hours of being designated Tropical Depression One-E by the National Hurricane Center late Friday, Tropical Storm Agatha formed early Saturday morning amid a cluster of showers and thunderstorms in the East Pacific. Winds within the center of the storm stood at 70 mph (113 km/h) at 4 a.m. CDT Sunday, just shy of Category 1 hurricane status (maximum sustained winds of 74-95 mph, or 119-153 km/h).
Hurricane Agatha can be seen on AccuWeather's Enhanced RealVue™ Satellite Sunday morning, May 29, 2022. (AccuWeather)
Forecasters say the system will remain in an environment conducive for continued strengthening up until it moves onshore in Mexico. By Monday morning, Agatha is forecast to reach Category 2 hurricane strength (maximum sustained winds of 96-110 mph, or 154-177 km/h).
Agatha is expected to make landfall as Monday evening along the southern coast of Mexico in the state of Oaxaca. If the storm makes landfall at Category 2 or higher intensity, it would be the strongest May hurricane to ever make landfall in the eastern Pacific basin.
Sea-surface temperatures in the area are more than sufficient for continued strengthening, and as of Sunday, the ocean water in this part of the Pacific Ocean was around 86 degrees Fahrenheit (30 degrees Celsius). At a minimum, a sea-surface temperature of 79-80 F (26-27 C) is needed for the formation and maintenance of tropical systems. In addition, wind shear in the area is very light across this part of the basin, which will also contribute to the strengthening of the storm.
Hurricane Warnings have been hoisted along the southern coast of Mexico from Salina Cruz to Lagunas de Chacahua.
"Hurricane-force winds are expected near where the storm makes landfall along Mexico's southern coastline, which can lead to downed trees, power lines and structural damage," Dan Pydynowski, a senior meteorologist at AccuWeather who frequently issues tropical outlooks for the Atlantic and East Pacific basin, said.
An AccuWeather Local StormMax™ wind gust of 115 mph (185 km/h) is forecast near where the center of Agatha moves onshore. Anyone without adequate shelter from these fierce winds may be subject to flying debris.
These strong winds can also kick up dangerous surf along the entire southern coast of Mexico, making it dangerous for swimmers to enter the water and for boaters to venture offshore.
In addition to large and destructive waves, a storm surge of up to 6 feet (1.8 meters) can produce coastal flooding near and to the east of where the center of Agatha moves onshore.
"Flooding rainfall is expected to be one of the biggest impacts across southern Mexico and parts of Central America," Pydynowski said.
Heavy rain is likely to pour down from Acapulco to Oaxaca and Tehuacán, Mexico, from late Sunday into Tuesday, posing a significant risk to life and property.
"The heaviest rain will fall across the Mexican states of Oaxaca and Chiapas, causing flash flooding mudslides and road closures," Pydynowski said.
These life-threatening dangers will be heightened in areas of mountainous terrain where steep slopes can give way once the ground becomes extremely saturated.
Rain amounts of 6 inches (150 mm) or more are expected to be widespread across southern Mexico from Sunday through Tuesday. Coastal portions of Oaxaca and Chiapas can expect the highest rain amounts of 8-12 inches (200-300 mm). Mountainous areas will be most likely to reach the AccuWeather Local StormMax™ of 28 inches (710 mm).
Agatha is a 2 on the AccuWeather RealImpact™ Scale for Hurricanes due to the intense wind gusts and flooding threat in Mexico.
For the 2022 East Pacific tropical season, AccuWeather forecasters are predicting a normal to above-normal hurricane season. Fifteen to 19 named storms are expected to form with the possibility of six to eight of them reaching hurricane force. The normal count of named storms in the basin is about 15 storms, with eight achieving hurricane status.
AccuWeather meteorologists will be closely monitoring the leftover energy from Agatha as it crosses Mexico and enters the Bay of Campeche during the first days of June. Here, it there is a chance it could redevelop into the Atlantic basin's first named storm.
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