Hurricane Carlotta threatens Mexico Hurricane Carlotta is getting closer to the Pacific coast of Mexico and is gaining strength. All residents should be weather ready for this intensifying storm.

Matt Daniel JUN 15, 2012

Hurricane Carlotta threatens Mexico

Visible satellite imagery of Hurricane Carlotta on June 15, 2012. Image Credit: NOAA

Hurricane Carlotta is getting closer to the Pacific coast of Mexico and is gaining strength. All residents should be weather ready for this intensifying storm.

Visible satellite imagery of Hurricane Carlotta on June 15, 2012. Image Credit: NOAA

Hurricane Carlotta, the third named storm for the 2012 Eastern Pacific Hurricane Season, has formed and is threatening the coast of Mexico. Hurricane warnings have been issued for the Pacific coast of Mexico from Salina Cruz to Acapulco. Carlotta is a Category 1 hurricane with sustained winds of 85 miles per hour. Sea surface temperatures along the track of Carlotta are very warm with temperatures around 30°C (86°F). With light shear and warm sea surface temperatures, strengthening is likely to continue as it gets closer to the coast. All residents along the Pacific coast of Mexico east of Salina Cruz to Barra De Tonala and areas west of Acapulco to Tecpan De Galeana should monitor this situation as the storm inches closer to the coast. Carlotta will bring heavy rain and strong winds along the coast Friday evening and throughout Saturday, June 16, 2012.

Image Credit: Wikipedia

The latest information on Hurricane Carlotta:

11:00 AM PDT Friday, June 15, 2012
Location: 14.4°N 96.2°W
Moving: NW at 12 mph
Minimum pressure: 979 mb
Maximum sustained: 85 mph

Hurricane Warnings: The Pacific coast of Mexico from Salina Cruz to Acapulco.
Hurricane Watches: The Pacific coast of Mexico east of Salina Cruz to Barra De Tonala and west of Acapulco to Tecpan De Galeana.
Tropical Storm Warnings: The Pacific coast of Mexico east of Salina Cruz to Barra De Tonala

You can view a current loop image of Hurricane Carlotta (supports FLASH) by CLICKING HERE

Infrared rainbow image of Hurricane Carlotta around 1:30 PM EDT on June 15, 2012. Image Credit: NOAA

Hurricane Carlotta is expected to strengthen into a stronger hurricane in the next 24 to 36 hours. Intensity forecasts are still difficult for forecasters, but it appears as if all of the ingredients are together to allow intensification. The current forecast is for Carlotta to strengthen into a strong Category 2 hurricane with maximum sustained winds around 100 mph. The National Hurricane Center is giving Carlotta roughly a 5% chance of becoming a major hurricane, or a Category 3 storm with sustained winds over 110 mph. As of now, hurricane force winds (74 mph or greater) only extend outward up to 25 miles, which is along the center of the storm. For the most part, it is a small system with tropical force winds extending 90 miles from the center. Carlotta is expected to produce rainfall accumulations of 3 to 5 inches (75 to 125 MM) over the Mexican states of Chiapas, Guerrero, and northern Oaxaca. 6 to 10 inches (150 to 250 MM) are possible over southern Oaxaca and along the Guerrero coast, and some isolated areas could see as much as 12 to 15 inches (300 to 375 MM) along the Oaxaca coast. The biggest concern about Carlotta is flash flooding and mudslides across this region.

Track:

Here is the five day forecast track for Hurricane Carlotta. Flooding appears to be the biggest issue with this system. Image Credit: NHC

As of the 11 AM PDT update, Carlotta is 285 miles, or 460 kilometers southeast of Acapulco, Mexico. Carlotta is expected to “hug” the coast of Mexico, but never fully push into the country. Instead, it will move northwest along the coast. If the storm pushes further north than expected, then the mountainous terrain should greatly weaken the system. By Sunday, Carlotta is expected to weaken into a tropical storm, and will eventually stall out and loop around the same area and provide more heavy rain and flooding across the region thanks to an area of high pressure to the west that will prevent it from pushing out to the Pacific ocean.

Bottom line: Hurricane Carlotta is the third named storm for the 2012 Eastern Pacific hurricane season. Carlotta is still intensifying, and it could become a strong Category 2 hurricane with winds around 100 mph as it nears the coast of Mexico. Hurricane warnings have been issued along the Pacific coast of Mexico from Salina Cruz to Acapulco. The biggest threats from Carlotta will be flash flooding and mudslides across the region. Rainfall totals could easily exceed 5-10 inches in many areas. Everyone in and around the track of Carlotta should closely monitor this situation.

Hurricane Carlotta nears Mexico coast with 80 mph winds Posted on June 15, 2012 by Bob Berwyn

Hurricane Carlotta nears Mexico coast with 80 mph winds

Posted on June 15, 2012 by Bob Berwyn

Storm surge, mountain floods and mudslides expected

Hurricane Carlotta, far left, is growing and strengthening rapidly near the southern coast of Mexico.

Hurricane Carlotta could move along the coast of southern Mexico the next few days.

By Summit Voice

SUMMIT COUNTY —Hurricane  warnings are in effect for several hundred miles along the Pacific coast of Mexico including Acapulco, asHurricane Carlottaapproaches the area with winds that could reach 100 mph early in the weekend.

The biggest concerns are for a dangerous storm surge that will produce significant coastal flooding, along with powerful and destructive waves. Rainfall totals are forecast to reach 3 to 5 inches in Chiapas and northern Oaxaca, with higher amounts up 10 15 inches in the mountains of southern Oaxaca, where mudslides and flash flooding are possible.

The latest forecast track nudges Carlotta a bit farther north before the hurricane turns west again, which means the storm could weaken and even fall apart if it runs into the high mountains of southern Mexico, but the exact track has been hard to pinpoint. Carlotta could rake a large part of Mexico’s southern coast with high winds and heavy rains.

Officially, wind speeds are forecast to reach 90 mph by Friday evening and 100 mph by Saturday morning as the center nears the coast.

Posted at 12:28 PM ET, 06/15/2012 Hurricane Carlotta to slam Mexico with wind, flooding rain By Jason Samenow

Posted at 12:28 PM ET, 06/15/2012

Hurricane Carlotta to slam Mexico with wind, flooding rain

By Jason Samenow

Hurricane Carlotta at noon ET (9 am PT) (NOAA)Tropical storm Carlotta gained hurricane status this morning and continues to intensify in the Eastern Pacific. The category 1 storm has its sights set on the southwest coast of Mexico and may grow to category 2 levels - winds to 100 mph - before striking land. Hurricane warnings have been posted from Salina Cruz to Acapulco.

At 11 am (ET or 8 am PT), the center of storm was positioned 330 miles southeast of Acapulco and is moving northwest at 12 mph. Maximum sustained winds are 80 mph. The National Hurricane Center calls for “rapid strengthening” this afternoon and tonight.

In its morning forecast discussion, the National Hurricane Center wrote:

CONVECTION AND MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW THAT CARLOTTA HAS BECOME MUCH BETTER ORGANIZED..WITH THE FORMATION OF AN EYEWALL AND EYE INSIDE A WELL-DEFINED CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST.

. . .

CARLOTTA APPEARS TO BE UNDERGOING RAPID INTENSIFICATION...AND THIS IS LIKELY TO CONTINUE UNTIL THE CENTER MOVES NEAR OR OVER THE MEXICAN COAST IN 18 HR OR SO. THE EARLY PART OF THE INTENSITY FORECAST HAS BEEN REVISED UPWARD...

Forecast maximum sustained winds at landfall are around 100 mph.

Landfall is set to occur around 2 am (ET, or 5 am PT) but heavy rain and wind will begin battering the coast well before that.

Radar image from Puerto Angel at noon ET (9 a.m. PT). Link: Live RadarLocal radar imagery from Puerto Angel already shows some of the storm’s outer bands moving inland with Carlotta’s well-defined eye offshore.

NHC expects tropical storm conditions in the affected areas this afternoon and hurricane conditions tonight. As the storm makes landfall early tomorrow morning, a dangerous storm surge will push ashore north and east of the center.

The most signficant impact from Carlotta is likely to be flooding rain and possible mudslides. Writes the NHC:

ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...75 TO 125 MM...OVER THE MEXICAN STATES OF CHIAPAS...GUERRERO...AND NORTHERN OAXACA...WITH 6 TO 10 INCHES...150 TO 250 MM...EXPECTED OVER SOUTHERN OAXACA. ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 TO 15 INCHES...300 TO 375 MM MM...ARE ANTICIPATED ALONG THE OAXACA COAST...WITH 6 TO 8 INCHES...150 TO 200 MM ALONG THE GUERRERO COAST.

The HWRF model simulates a widespread area of southwest Mexico receiving 20-40+ cm (8-16 inches) of rain from Hurricane Carlotta. (Florida State)

AccuWeather notes the mountains of Oaxaca could see “feet of rain” due to upslope flow enhancing rainfall coupled with the fact parts of the storm will linger for days.

Although the most severe impacts from Carlotta are expected in the hurricane warning area between Salina Cruz and Acapulco, heavy rains and gusty winds are possible in the hurricane watch area, which spans from: (north)west of Acapulco to Tecpan de Galeana and (south)east of Salina Cruz to Barra de Tonala.

By Jason Samenow  |  12:28 PM ET, 06/15/2012

Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather, International Weather

Tropical Depression 3-E becoming better organized, now located 470 miles SSE of Puerto Angel, Mexico, with 35 mph winds.

Puerto Ángel, Oaxaca, MX

Turn off topic filter

• Subscribe to topic feed

• CARLOTTA

@breakingweather tweeted:

Tropical Depression 3-E becoming better organized, now located 470 miles SSE of Puerto Angel, Mexico, with 35 mph winds.

• Submitted Jun 13, 2012, 10:56 p.m. from twitter.com by editor

Sharing:

Related topics:

• Carlotta
• Puerto Ángel, Oaxaca, MX
• Pacific Ocean

End of items

Magnitude 4.2 - OFFSHORE OAXACA, MEXICO

This webpage has been replaced by a new version and will be phased out in the future. Please use our new Real-time Earthquake Map to access the latest earthquake information and event details. The links to the World, US, and CA/NV maps that were in the navigation on the left side of the page have been replaced by the links at the top of the new Map. The Real-time Earthquake Map User Guide describes how to use the map and all its features.

2012 June 15 06:53:36 UTC

• Details
• Summary
• Maps
• Scientific & Technical

Earthquake Details

• This event has been reviewed by a seismologist.

Magnitude	4.2
Date-Time	Friday, June 15, 2012 at 06:53:36 UTC Friday, June 15, 2012 at 01:53:36 AM at epicenter Time of Earthquake in other Time Zones
Location	16.077°N, 94.861°W
Depth	35.2 km (21.9 miles)
Region	OFFSHORE OAXACA, MEXICO
Distances	37 km (22 miles) ESE of Salina Cruz, Oaxaca, Mexico 126 km (78 miles) W of Tonala, Chiapas, Mexico 184 km (114 miles) ENE of Puerto Angel, Oaxaca, Mexico 587 km (364 miles) SE of MEXICO CITY, D.F., Mexico
Location Uncertainty	horizontal +/- 25.8 km (16.0 miles); depth +/- 9.4 km (5.8 miles)
Parameters	NST= 59, Nph= 60, Dmin=292.8 km, Rmss=1.12 sec, Gp=173°, M-type=body wave magnitude (Mb), Version=6
Source	Magnitude: USGS NEIC (WDCS-D) Location: USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)
Event ID	usb000agbm

• Did you feel it? Report shaking and damage at your location. You can also view a map displaying accumulated data from your report and others.

NASA sees bitter cold cloud tops in newborn Tropical Storm Carlotta posted on: june 14, 2012 - 9:00pm

NASA sees bitter cold cloud tops in newborn Tropical Storm Carlotta

posted on: june 14, 2012 - 9:00pm

  

 

Bitter cold cloud tops tell forecasters that a storm has a lot of uplift, and the colder the cloud tops, the higher they are in the atmosphere, and the stronger the thunderstorms. NASA's Aqua satellite data showed that the cloud top temperatures in newborn Tropical Storm Carlotta became colder overnight and continue to grow colder as the low pressure area formely known as System 94E strengthened into a tropical storm. Carlotta is even expected to strengthen further and become a hurricane.

Because Carlotta is expected to continue strengthening, the government of Mexico has issued a hurricane warning for the Pacific coast of Mexico From Salina Cruz to Punta Maldonado. A hurricane watch is also in effect for the Pacific coast of Mexico west of Punta Maldonado to Acapulco and east of Salina Cruz to Barra De Tonala.

Forecasters look at data from the Atmospheric Infrared Sounder (AIRS) instrument that flies on NASA's Aqua satellite. When cloud temperatures get colder, it means that clouds are getting higher. The lowest temperatures in Carlotta were as cold as or colder than 220 degrees Kelvin or minus 63 degrees Fahrenheit (-52 Celsius). The data from AIRS is also used to create an accurate 3-D map of atmospheric temperature, water vapor and clouds, all of which are helpful to forecasters.

NASA's AIRS instrument data showed on June 14, at 0723 UTC (3:23 a.m. EDT/12:23 a.m. PDT) that Tropical Storm Carlotta's low-level circulation center had consolidated and shows improved convective banding (of thunderstorms).

(Photo Credit: : NASA/JPL, Ed Olsen)

At 11 a.m. EDT (8 a.m. PDT) Tropical Storm Carlotta's maximum sustained winds were near 45 mph (75 kph), and further strengthening is expected in the warm waters along the western coast of Mexico. Carlotta is expected to become a hurricane on June 15, according to the National Hurricane Center. Currently, Carlotta is located about 385 miles (620 km) south-southeast of Puerto Angel and 590 miles (950 km) southeast of Acapulco, Mexico. Carlotta is moving northwest near 9 mph (15 kph) and is expected to continue for the next couple of days. The storm should be near the Pacific coast of Mexico on Friday and move near the coast Friday night and Saturday, according to the National Hurricane Center.

That means that hurricane conditions are expected in the warning area by Friday night, June 15 and those conditions will continue on June 16, Saturday. Storm surge, heavy rainfall, flooding and mudslides are also possible. Isolated rainfall totals can reach 10-12 inches (250-300 mm) over the Mexican states of Guerrero, Oaxaca, Chiapas and southern Guatemala.

Source: NASA/Goddard Space Flight Center

Friday, June 15, 2012 9:55:37 AM NEWS ALERT U.S. will stop deporting some younger illegal immigrants The Obama administration will stop deporting and begin giving work permits to younger illegal immigrants who came to the United States as children and have since led law-abiding lives, the AP reports. The election-year initiative addresses a top priority of a growing Latino electorate that has opposed administration deportation policies. The administration's decision will affect as many as 800,000 immigrants. Read more at: http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/administration-plan-could-spare-hundreds-of-thousands-of-illegal-immigrants-from-deportation/2012/06/15/gJQA4xlmeV_story.html

Huatulco, Oaxaca, Mexico - part 5

Home : Blogs : Sue Coleman International Real Estate Consultant : Sue Coleman International Real Estate Consultant's Blog

inShare Huatulco, Oaxaca, Mexico - part 5 Trip to Huatulco, Oaxaca, Mexico - 5 After my leisurely lunch at the Beach club restaurant  I dropped off all my 'work gear' and prepared for my  afternoon sailing.  Great way to spend my birthday for sure!! Shaun picked me up from my hotel and off we went  to the Chahue Marina where the Cosmo yacht  is docked. It's a beautiful 47' Beneteau.  As soon  as we were parked the 'mate' ran up to Shaun's  car in the parking lot to bring down the cooler -  wonderful to have this kind of service. Cosmo employs a captain for the yacht and his job is to keep it in tip-top shape ready for the residents and their guests - this young man does an amazing job - the boat was immaculate. Without too much ado we climbed aboard and off we went - I was very impressed with the young Captains boat handling skills - this is a large boat and took some skilled manoeuvring to get out of the dock to the main channel. To read the rest of this blog & video click here

Acapulco area on hurricane watch as storm forms Carlotta now at 50 mph; up to foot of rain could trigger floods, mudslides

Acapulco area on hurricane watch as storm forms msnbc.com 6/14/2012 2:41:09 PM ET

MSNBC.msn.com

Tropical Storm Carlotta formed off Mexico's Pacific Coast overnight and is likely to make landfall Friday as a hurricane, the U.S. National Hurricane Center reported Thursday.

Hurricane alerts were issued for part of the country's Pacific coast, from Acapulco to Salina Cruz.

With sustained winds now at 50 mph, Carlotta was expected to continue building strength, the hurricane center stated.

Flash floods and mudslides were feared with the forecast of 3-5 inches of rain in Guerrero, Oaxaca and Chiapas -- and the possibility of up to 12 inches in some spots.

Carlotta is the third named storm of the Pacific hurricane season.

© 2012 msnbc.com Reprints

Tropical Storm carlotta

Tropical Storm Carlotta - Weekend Hurricane Landfall

Tropical Storm Carlotta forms in the Pacific Published June 14, 2012

Tropical Storm Carlotta forms in the Pacific

Published June 14, 2012

Associated Press

MIAMI –  Tropical Storm Carlotta has formed in the Pacific south of Mexico and is expected to become a hurricane.

Carlotta's maximum sustained winds increased Thursday morning to near 45 mph. The U.S. National Hurricane Center in Miami says additional strengthening is forecast and Carlotta is expected to become a hurricane by the time it reaches Mexico's southern coast on Friday.

A hurricane watch is in effect for Mexico's Pacific coast from Barra de Tonala to Punta Maldonado.

The tropical storm is centered about 405 miles south-southeast of Puerto Angel, Mexico, and 600 miles southeast of Acapulco, Mexico. The storm is moving northwest near 10 mph.

Tropical storm-force winds are extending outward up to 45 miles from the storm's center.

Read more: http://www.foxnews.com/weather/2012/06/14/tropical-storm-carlotta-forms-in-pacific/#ixzz1xm9aK8x2

Life on Death Beach Help me send my film about the lifeguards that saved my life to film festivals - Ayúdame a difundir mi documental sobre los salvavidas que me salvaron la vida.