BULLETIN
Hurricane Agatha Warning Number 8
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012022
400p m. CDT Sun May 29, 2022
...AGATHA ALMOST A GREAT HURRICANE...
...WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN TO DETERIORATE IN THE SOUTH
MEXICO TONIGHT...
SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...14.1N 98.7W
ABOUT 185 MI...295 KM SW OF PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H. CAT, 2
CURRENT MOTION...NE (NORTHEAST) OR 45 DEGREES AT 1 MPH...2 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...964 MB...28.47 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS NOTICE:
None
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
There is a hurricane warning for...
* Salina Cruz to Lagunas de Chacahua
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Salina Cruz to the east to Barra De Tonalá
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Salina Cruz to the east to Boca de Pijijiapan
* Lagunas de Chacahua to the west to Punta Maldonado
A hurricane warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. preparations for
protect life and property must be rushed to completion.
A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area.
A tropical storm warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area.
Interests in other parts of southern Mexico should closely monitor the
Agatha's progress.
For specific storm information in your area, check the products issued by your national weather service.
DISCUSSION AND PERSPECTIVE
-------------------------------------
at 400 p.m. m. CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Agatha was located near latitude 14.1 North, longitude 98.7 West. Agatha is drifting northeast near 1 mph (2 km/h), and a faster northeast. The movement is expected to start tonight. On the forecast track, the center of Agatha will make landfall in southern Mexico Monday afternoon or evening.
Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 110 mph (175 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is expected during the next 12 to 24 hours and Agatha is forecast to become a major hurricane when it reaches the coast of southern Mexico on Monday.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km).
The minimum central pressure based on data from the Spanish Air Force
The Hurricane Hunter plane is 964mb (28.47 inches).
THREATS AFFECTING THE EARTH
-------------------------------------
WIND: Hurricane conditions expected on hurricane watch
area and possible in the watch area Monday, with tropical storm conditions beginning tonight or early Monday.
STORM SURGE: Storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding in areas of onshore winds near and to the east of where the center of Agatha makes landfall. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves.
RAINFALL: Agatha to produce heavy rain in parts of the south
Mexico until Tuesday night. The following rainfall amounts are currently expected:
Mexican state of Oaxaca: 10 to 16 inches, with maximum isolated
quantities of 20 inches possible. Life-threatening flash floods and
landslides can occur.
Mexican state of Chiapas: 5 to 10 inches, with maximum isolated
15-inch quantities possible. Life-threatening flash flooding and landslides can occur.
Eastern portions of the Mexican state of Guerrero: 2 to 6 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 10 inches possible. Life-threatening flash floods and landslides can occur.
Mexican states of Veracruz and Tabasco: 2 to 4 inches, with insulation
maximum quantities of 6 inches possible.
SURF: Large swells generated by Agatha will affect the southern coast of Mexico during the next few days. These waves are
likely to cause life-threatening surf conditions and rip currents.
Check the products of your local weather office.
NEXT NOTICE
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Next interim notice at 700 p.m. m. CDT.
Next full notice at 1000 p.m. m. CDT.
Cangialosi Tipster
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