Vance a Potential Heavy Rain Threat to Mexico By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 3:29 PM GMT on November 01, 2014

Vance a Potential Heavy Rain Threat to Mexico

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 3:29 PM GMT on November 01, 2014

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Satellite images show that Tropical Storm Vance has an expanding area of heavy thunderstorms that have improved in organization since Friday. Vance is over warm waters with low wind shear, so intensification into a Category 1 hurricane by Sunday is a good bet, but the storm's heaviest rains will remain well offshore from Mexico through Sunday. Vance will get pulled to the northeast by a trough of low pressure on Monday, but might not make it all the way to Mexico. The 8 am EDT Saturday run of theSHIPS model predicted that wind shear would remain low, 5 - 10 knots, though Monday, then ramp up significantly on Monday night and Tuesday as Vance gets caught up in the trough of low pressure that will sling it towerds Mexico. The higher wind shear will likely be able to tear Vance apart before landfall, making heavy rain the primary threat. In their 11 am EDT Saturday Wind Probability Forecast, NHC gave a 7 - 11% chance that Vance would bring tropical storm-force winds of 39+ mph to Puerto Vallarta and the tip of the Baja Peninsula. The 06Z Saturday run of the GFDL model predicted that Vance's moisture would bring a swath of heavy rains of 4 - 8" from just northwest of Puerto Vallarta into Texas, Tuesday night into Wednesday.


Figure 1. VIIRS satellite image of Tropical Storm Vance off the Pacific coast of Mexico on Thursday, October 31, 2014. At the time, Vance had top sustained winds of 40 mph. Image credit: NOAA Visualization Lab.

Tropical Storm Nuri may brush Japan
In the Western Pacific, Tropical Storm Nuri is near typhoon strength, and is headed towards Japan. Nuri may pass close enough to Japan on Thursday to bring them heavy rain, but a direct hit appears unlikely. 

Quiet in the Atlantic
The Atlantic is quiet today, with no areas of concern to discuss. None of the three reliable models for predicting tropical cyclone genesis predicts any development in the Atlantic over the next five days. With November at hand and El Niño-like atmospheric conditions in place, the odds of getting Tropical Storm Isaias before the end of the Atlantic hurricane season on November 30 are probably around 30%.

Jeff Masters

Hurricane

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On the Horizon: Reclining Seats at Takeoff? October 28, 2014 1:06 pm by Dara Continenza

On the Horizon: Reclining Seats at Takeoff?

October 28, 2014 1:06 pm by Dara Continenza

  

Every so often, we hear about a trend in air travel that makes us delirious with rage: windowless airplanes, backless seats, fees to print boarding passes. But today brings a trend we can totally get behind (or on top of): reclining at takeoff and landing. 

Australian airline Qantas is in the final stages of introducing a new business-class seat that reclines from takeoff to touchdown. Passengers would be able to board the plane, immediately recline their seats, and start napping—no more waiting for an OK from the flight deck, and no more rude awakening when the flight attendant says, "Please return your seat to the upright position."

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The new seats will have an over-the-shoulder belt that must be in place for takeoff and landing. The new seatbelts would click into the already-existing lap belt system. Seats can't be reclined fully flat until the plane reaches level flight, but 5- to 7-inch recline is available during taxiing, takeoff, and landing, with the lie-flat capability during the rest of the flight. 

Currently, Qantas is seeking approval for the new seats for their Airbus A330 aircraft. The last few stages include some regulatory approval, but it looks like this service is set for an early 2015 debut. This comes as Qantas refreshes all A330s, including adding new Panasonic seatback entertainment systems throughout business and economy cabins as well as a refurb for all economy seats (so us peasants don't feel left out). 

Assuming all goes well, we imagine that other airlines, especially those with long-haul flights, may want to jump into the gate-to-gate recline market. It's a fairly inexpensive way to add some comfort to cramped aircraft cabins, and airlines are forever wooing premium-class flyers with small add-ons. Count among those add-ons a decent night's sleep.

Readers, would you like to fall asleep the minute you reach your seat?

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The Guardian (blog) Day of the Dead – the Aussie way The Guardian (blog) A boy takes part in the Day of the Dead celebrations in Oaxaca, Mexico. Photograph: Alberto-Sibaja Ramirez/ Alberto-Sibaja Ramirez/Demotix/Corbis. Google Plus Facebook Twitter Flag as irrelevant

The Guardian (blog) Day of the Dead – the Aussie way The Guardian (blog) A boy takes part in the Day of the Dead celebrations in Oaxaca, Mexico. Photograph: Alberto-Sibaja Ramirez/ Alberto-Sibaja Ramirez/Demotix/Corbis. Flag as irrelevant

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Playa Zipolite Apartments Lonely Planet Read Playa Zipolite, Mexico apartment reviews from independent authors and book Playa Zipolite, Mexico apartment accommodation online with ...

Playa Zipolite Apartments

Lonely Planet

Read Playa Zipolite, Mexico apartment reviews from independent authors and book Playa Zipolite, Mexico apartment accommodation online with ...

Lonely Planet review

Overlooking picturesque Playa Camarón, a 10-minute walk west from Playa Zipolite, recently-opened Heven features some lovely hand-made Mexican furniture and crafts, including beautiful tilework, in its eight individually-designed apartments and suites and spacious communal areas. Most accommodations have king-size beds.

There's vehicle access from the main road about 1km west of Zipolite.

Our independent authors have visited Heven and selected this as one of our recommended apartments in Zipolite.

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Day of the Dead helps Valley indigenous groups connect with Mexican roots BY ANDREA CASTILLO The Fresno BeeOctober 31, 2014

Day of the Dead helps Valley indigenous


groups connect with Mexican roots

BY ANDREA CASTILLO

The Fresno BeeOctober 31, 2014 Updated 15 minutes ago

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THEFRESNOBEE

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MADERA — The woman’s hands worked with a learned precision, flattening a rounded slab of dough with her fingertips into the form of a person.

She cut slits around the bottom of the figure — a dress. Two slits across the upper sides of the body became arms, which she delicately folded across each other.

Guadalupe Herrera, 49, started baking pan de muerto — bread of the dead — as a 9-year-old in her hometown of Putla Villa de Guerrero in the Mexican state of Oaxaca. The entire village had just three brick ovens, and she remembers each family planning days in advance to prepare the food for her favorite holiday: Day of the Dead.

“I missed all of that,” she said in Spanish. “I never thought I’d be here making this bread.”

Observed every Nov. 2, Day of the Dead is based on the belief that the souls of the deceased visit their families once a year. Aztecs and other Meso-American civilizations believed those souls would experience eternal despair if their memory was forgotten.

It survived major changes in Latin America’s history, evolving through the Spanish conquest and mass conversion to Catholicism. Spaniards changed the dates of the rituals to correspond with two Christian holidays: All Saints Day on Nov. 1 and All Souls Day on Nov. 2. Believers say the souls of dead children return Oct, 31, the souls of adults on Nov. 1 and all souls together on Nov. 2.

Rather than being a period of mourning, Meso-Americans treated death as an extension of life worth memorializing. On Day of the Dead, families honor their ancestors by creating altars that display photos, favorite foods and possessions. The altars symbolize the gate to heaven and are decorated with candles and marigolds, which are said to draw the person’s soul back for the festivities. They burn incense to purify the area surrounding each altar as a sacred place.

Inside a small commercial kitchen Thursday at Iglesia Santa Ines, a church in Madera, Herrera led five women in baking around 200 breads for Saturday’s Day of the Dead celebration. They are part of a mixed group of indigenous women, including Mixtecos, Zapotecos and Triquis. Oaxaca, their home region, has 16 indigenous groups.

Herrera had been awake since 4 a.m. preparing the dough. The day was overcast, but inside the small chapel it was hot and humid with the sweet smell of baking bread.

Once shaped, the women added details to the dough people, like buttons or bows, then sprinkled sesame seeds on top. A butter glaze finished them off.

The bread symbolizes each person who has passed on. Herrera set aside 10 large slabs of dough to represent the grandparents of the 10 women most involved in their group. The rest will be sold along with Oaxacan meals of mole, tamales, posole and other traditional foods.

For Herrera, Day of the Dead is about connecting with her family.

“My father died here,” she said in Spanish. “For me, it’s as if I’m saying, ‘I’m here, Dad. I’ll put (on the altar) everything you like.’ If I didn’t do this, I would feel really sad. This is part of our culture. It is part of us.”

Duties for Madera’s Day of the Dead celebration were divided along traditional gender roles: Women baking and cooking; men building and decorating the community altar.

For the individual family, finding decorations needed for the holiday has gotten easier in Madera. Many people, including Javier Lopez, plant marigolds. Their strong scent is said to attract the souls of the dead.

Lopez, 45, has been planting the flowers for 12 years, most recently at his home near Highway 99. He sells them in large bundles for $20. It’s a family affair, with his four children helping him cut, bundle and deliver the flowers to Day of the Dead believers in town.

The tradition of growing marigolds was passed from Lopez’s grandfather to his father, then him. Now his 5-square-yard garden is overgrown with rows of pungent orange varieties of marigolds.

“I do this so (the tradition) won’t stop,” he said in Spanish. “Even from afar, but we are here remembering our customs. I have to show my son what the culture is like over there in Oaxaca.”

It doesn’t appear the tradition is in jeopardy. Colorful Day of the Dead sugar skull and skeleton iconography, which symbolize death and rebirth, can now be seen across graffiti, low-rider and tattoo culture, said Frank Delgado, executive director of Arte Américas in Fresno.

Delgado said the holiday provides an entry point to educate the larger community about Mexican cultural traditions, especially as Day of the Dead becomes popularized, he said.

“We bring it back by always maintaining the importance of the indigenous roots of the celebration,” he said. “We arm people with information that is contextualized.”

Juanita Gomez, one of the women who baked bread on Thursday and a leader of Madera’s Mixteco community, said that context makes Day of the Dead especially significant for indigenous people.

“We begin learning our past to understand our future,” she said. “When we are on this side of the border, we hold onto those traditions and customs. It’s difficult because we don’t find all the ingredients, plus the graves are not here.”

But Gomez recalled an old saying: “Prepare the mole, put the glass of water, put a chair, incense and some yellow flowers, because soon enough they will come.”

Read more here: http://www.fresnobee.com/2014/10/31/4209635/day-of-the-dead-helps-valley-indigenous.html?sp=/99/406/#storylink=cp
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